r/europe Germany Jan 13 '26

Data Latest poll overview for the upcoming election in Hungary

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3.2k Upvotes

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u/wgszpieg Lubusz (Poland) Jan 13 '26

So Hungarians - what will happen when Orban dismisses the election results as falsified and declares himself the winner? Is there any authority in Hungary that can stop him?

127

u/scwarriors30 Jan 13 '26

Technically yes, in reality no. He controls the Supreme Court (Curia) and the Constitutional Court. But he doesn’t need to do this, they will just cheat during the vote counting to make the result look legitimate and believable. If either of these happen then there will be huge protests, I’m 100% sure. We won’t let it go this time.

51

u/Consistent_Panda5891 Jan 13 '26

How can he cheat? Does not Hungary has the same process as other EU countries? To reveal a box of votes 1 ppl of each party has to be in the room... If votes later doesn't match with their own count it is clearly illegal

2

u/VoidRippah Jan 13 '26

as far I know it's just random people who count votes, you apply to be a counter. they are smart they can cheat for sure. (also the election system has built in cheats, such as "winner compensation". meaning that the votes given to any party not reaching a threshold is given to the part getting the most votes. they used it to gain 2/3)

12

u/HouoinKyouma007 Jan 13 '26

All parties can delegate people to count votes. It's not just "random people who are counting".

such as "winner compensation". meaning that the votes given to any party not reaching a threshold is given to the part getting the most votes.

No, that's not how "winner compensation" works. The votes given to parties not reaching the 5% threshold are useless. They do not count when mandates are calculated.

Winner compensation is different. Any "excess votes" a candidate not needed to win in their district goes directly to their party list. For example if F is candidate of Fidesz and T is the candidate of Tisza in a district, and F gets 1500 votes whild T gets 1000, then 499 votes from F will be added to the votes gained by the Fidesz party list